Fed shifts makeup of bond holdings to drive down long-term rates

9/21/2011
ASSOCIATED PRESS

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve says it will sell $400 billion of its shorter-term securities to buy longer-term holdings, its latest effort to boost a weak economy.

The Fed’s move to rebalance its $2.87 trillion portfolio could lower Treasury yields further. Ultimately, it might reduce rates on mortgages and other consumer and business loans.

Fed policymakers announced the move Wednesday after a two-day meeting. Three members dissented from the decision.

Many analysts have said the shift in the Fed’s portfolio could provide modest help to the economy by reducing borrowing costs and perhaps raising stock prices. Others say it won’t help and warn that the move could escalate inflation.

In June, the Fed completed a $600 billion bond-buying program that may have helped keep rates low.

Stocks fell immediately after the announcement. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note tumbled, and its price rose.

Expectations that the Fed would expand its holdings of long-term securities, along with fears of another recession, have led investors to buy up U.S. Treasurys. Treasury yields have dropped in response.

Once the Fed announced last month that it would expand its September policy meeting from one to two days, economists have anticipated some new action from the Fed. Chairman Ben Bernanke had said the Fed was considering a range of options.

The central bank is under pressure to revive an economy that has limped along for more than two years since the recession officially ended.

In the first six months of this year, the economy grew at an annual rate of just 0.7 percent. The housing market remains depressed. The unemployment rate is 9.1 percent. In August, the economy didn’t add any jobs, and consumers didn’t increase their spending on retail goods.

Most economists foresee growth of less than 2 percent for the entire year. They say the odds of another recession are about one in three.

The Fed has offered its own bleak outlook. At its August policy meeting, it said the economy would likely struggle for at least two more years. As a result, it said it planned to keep short-term rates near record lows until mid-2013, as long as the economy remained weak.

The Fed’s move Wednesday came despite a rift within the central bank. Three members dissented from the Fed’s decision at its August meeting — the most negative votes in nearly two decades. The three, all regional Fed bank presidents, have said the Fed’s policies may be raising the risk of high inflation.

Bernanke’s policymaking has also incited criticism from congressional Republicans and GOP presidential candidates. Some have argued that the Fed’s $600 billion bond-buying program, which ended in June, raised inflation pressures, weakened the dollar’s value against other currencies and contributed to a spike in oil prices.

On Monday, the four highest-ranking Republicans in Congress sent Bernanke a letter cautioning the Fed against taking further steps to lower interest rates. Their letter suggested that lower rates could escalate the risk of high inflation.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who is seeking the GOP nomination for president, has gone so far as to say Bernanke would be “almost treasonous” to launch more bond buying.

The Fed’s efforts to stimulate the economy through low rates are occurring at a time when Congress is focused more on shrinking spending.

President Barack Obama has proposed a $447 billion job-creation program made up mainly of tax cuts and public works spending. Obama also wants the richest Americans to pay higher taxes to help cut federal budget deficits.

Obama’s proposals face an uncertain fate in Congress. Republicans have dismissed his deficit-reduction plan and have focused on efforts to reduce spending and keep taxes low for everyone.